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2024-12-13 01:25:34

Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.The further rebound of CPI in the United States is in line with market expectations. The annual rate of CPI in the United States in November was 2.7%, which was expected to be 2.7% and the previous value was 2.60%. After seasonal adjustment, the monthly CPI rate is 0.3%, expected 0.3%, and the previous value is 0.20%. The annual rate of core CPI in the United States in November was not seasonally adjusted to 3.3%, which was expected to be 3.3% and the previous value was 3.30%. After seasonal adjustment, the monthly rate of core CPI is 0.3%, the expected rate is 0.30%, and the previous value is 0.30%.Kaisa disclosed the progress of overseas debt restructuring. Hong Kong plans to hold a hearing on December 19, and Kaisa Group Holdings Limited issued an announcement on December 11, disclosing further information about overseas debt restructuring, involving a notice to hold a hearing. According to the announcement, Kaisa Hong Kong plans to hold a hearing in the High Court of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region at 10 am on December 19, 2024. At the same time, Kaisa Cayman plans to hold a hearing in the Grand Court of Cayman Islands at 9: 30 am on January 15, 2025.


Analyst Kaye: Consumer energy prices rose slightly month by month in November, but dropped by more than 3% compared with the same period last year. The prices of all kinds of gasoline dropped by more than 8% year-on-year. According to the data of the Automobile Club of the American Automobile Association, the average price of gas stations has been falling in recent weeks, approaching the threshold of $3 per gallon.Ethereum rose to 5% to $3,750; Bitcoin rose 3.4%, approaching $99,000.After the US CPI was released, spot gold rose by $5 to $2,696.66 per ounce.


Goldman Sachs: CPI clears the way for the Fed to cut interest rates next week. It is expected that the policy will be gradually relaxed in the future. Whitney Watson, an analyst at Goldman Sachs: Today's CPI data clears the way for next week's interest rate cut. After today's data is released, the Fed will start a "silent period", and they still have confidence in the process of anti-inflation. We believe that the Fed will further gradually relax monetary policy in the new year.Shuang Jie Electric: The controlling shareholder, actual controller and their concerted actions terminated the agreement to transfer part of the company's shares. Shuang Jie Electric announced that the controlling shareholder, actual controller Zhao Zhihong and their concerted actions Zhao Zhixing and Zhao Zhihao reached an agreement with Hangzhou Yingxin Enterprise Management Partnership (Limited Partnership) on the termination of the agreement to transfer part of the company's shares, and signed the Agreement on the Dissolution of the Share Transfer Agreement. According to the information previously disclosed, Zhao Zhihong, Zhao Zhixing and Zhao Zhihao intend to transfer 54 million shares of the company's unrestricted shares to Hangzhou Yingxin by agreement transfer, accounting for 6.76% of the company's total share capital. Due to the change of objective conditions, both parties decided to terminate the transfer of this share agreement, and they will not be liable for breach of contract.German Chancellor Angela Scholz proposed a vote of confidence. On December 11th, local time, German Chancellor Angela Scholz issued a statement saying that she had formally submitted a vote of confidence to German Bundestag Speaker Babel Bass. It is expected that the Bundestag will begin to discuss and vote at 13: 00 on December 16th. If Scholz doesn't get an absolute majority of 367 votes in the vote, he will fail in the vote of confidence. In this case, Scholz will propose that the President dissolve Parliament and advance the Bundestag election scheduled for September 28th next year to February 23rd next year. Due to the lack of "trust foundation for cooperation", Scholz announced on November 6th that it would dismiss lindner, chairman of the Liberal Democratic Party, as finance minister, and then the Liberal Democratic Party announced its withdrawal from the current coalition government. This means that the ruling coalition of the Social Democratic Party led by Scholz, the Liberal Democratic Party and the Green Party has split. (CCTV News)

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